Italy · 2026/27

Serie A predicted final table

10,000 simulations of the 270 remaining matches, using our Poisson model of each club's attack and defence at home and away.

#	Club	Pts	Proj.	Win the Scudetto	Champions League	Europe (top six)	Relegated	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
1	AS Roma	27	81	45%	97%	>99%	0%	45	28	17	7	2	1
2	Lazio	29	79	29%	93%	99%	0%	29	29	23	11	4	2	1
3	Inter	28	77	20%	90%	99%	0%	20	28	27	15	6	3	1
4	AC Milan	24	70	3%	53%	88%	0%	3	8	15	26	22	13	7	3	1	1
5	Como	23	68	2%	40%	82%	0%	2	5	11	22	25	17	9	5	2	1
6	Frosinone	20	64	<1%	16%	59%	0%		1	4	10	18	25	17	11	7	3	1	1
7	Juventus	18	59	<1%	4%	26%	<1%			1	3	8	14	20	19	15	9	6	3	2	1
8	Napoli	15	58	<1%	4%	25%	<1%			1	3	8	13	19	19	15	9	6	3	2	1
9	Bologna	17	56	<1%	2%	14%	<1%				2	4	8	14	18	19	14	9	6	3	2	1
10	Torino	14	50	0%	<1%	3%	1%					1	2	5	8	12	15	16	14	10	7	4	3	2	1
11	Cagliari	16	49	0%	<1%	2%	2%					1	1	3	6	10	14	16	15	11	8	6	4	2	1
12	Atalanta	14	48	<1%	<1%	2%	2%						1	3	6	9	14	15	14	13	9	6	4	3	1	1
13	Genoa	13	45	0%	0%	<1%	6%							1	3	5	9	12	14	14	13	10	8	5	3	2	1
14	Fiorentina	9	41	0%	<1%	<1%	19%								1	2	3	6	9	11	13	13	13	11	9	6	4
15	Parma	8	38	0%	0%	<1%	30%									1	2	3	5	9	10	13	14	13	12	10	7
16	Lecce	10	38	0%	0%	<1%	34%									1	2	3	5	7	9	11	14	14	14	12	8
17	Monza	7	37	0%	0%	<1%	34%									1	1	3	5	7	10	12	13	14	13	12	9
18	Sassuolo	8	38	0%	0%	<1%	36%									1	2	3	5	7	10	11	12	14	14	12	10
19	Venezia	6	32	0%	0%	0%	67%											1	1	2	3	6	8	12	16	22	29
20	Udinese	5	32	0%	0%	0%	69%											1	1	2	3	6	7	11	15	22	32

Proj. = average final pointsRight-hand grid: % chance of finishing in each positionUpdated 15:26 UKMethodology

Probabilities describe what our model expects, not what will happen. Points deductions, injuries and transfers are not modelled. This is sports analysis, not betting advice.