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55′ United Arab Emirates crestUnited Arab Emirates2 Honduras crestHonduras1 HT Saudi Arabia crestSaudi Arabia1 South Korea crestSouth Korea0 40′ Qatar crestQatar0 Australia crestAustralia2 FT Llaneros crestLlaneros0 Chico crestChico0 FT Czechia U18 crestCzechia U180 Poland U18 crestPoland U183 FT Singapore crestSingapore1 Paraguay crestParaguay4 12:00 Chinese Taipei crestChinese Taipei Kyrgyzstan crestKyrgyzstan FT Comoros crestComoros0 Congo crestCongo0 FT Mozambique crestMozambique0 Ethiopia crestEthiopia1 FT Zambia crestZambia1 Burundi crestBurundi1 13:00 Congo DR U23 crestCongo DR U23 Nigeria U23 crestNigeria U23 16:00 Burkina Faso crestBurkina Faso Mauritania crestMauritania 16:00 Cape Verde Islands crestCape Verde Islands Liberia crestLiberia 16:00 Gabon crestGabon Lesotho crestLesotho 16:00 Nigeria crestNigeria Tanzania crestTanzania 16:00 South Africa crestSouth Africa Kenya crestKenya 16:00 Tunisia crestTunisia Libya crestLibya 16:30 Kuwait crestKuwait Syria crestSyria 16:30 Poland U21 crestPoland U21 Norway U21 crestNorway U21 17:00 Moldova crestMoldova Kazakhstan crestKazakhstan 17:00 JS Saoura crestJS Saoura Khenchela crestKhenchela 17:00 Germany U21 crestGermany U21 Belgium U21 crestBelgium U21 17:30 France U21 crestFrance U21 Italy U21 crestItaly U21 17:30 Chile U20 crestChile U20 Mexico U20 crestMexico U20
Scotland · 2026/27

Scottish Premiership: title, split & relegation odds

10,000 simulations of the 153 remaining matches, using our Poisson model of each club's attack and defence at home and away. Post-split fixtures are generated in each simulation until they are announced.

#ClubPtsProj. Win the titleTop twoTop six after the splitBottom (relegated) 123456789101112
1
Celtic crestCeltic
 31 79
66%
98%
100%
0%
 66322
2
Rangers crestRangers
 27 76
33%
92%
100%
0%
 335972
3
Falkirk crestFalkirk
 21 60
1%
6%
96%
0%
 15442614631
4
Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of Midlothian
 20 57
<1%
3%
89%
<1%
 224292113631
5
Dundee crestDundee
 17 55
<1%
2%
82%
<1%
 11623251610521
6
Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd
 17 51
<1%
<1%
56%
<1%
 51018221912742
7
ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone
 17 49
0%
<1%
36%
1%
 251118201713951
8
Hibernian crestHibernian
 11 45
0%
<1%
17%
3%
 125916191915113
9
Aberdeen crestAberdeen
 11 43
0%
<1%
11%
7%
 13710161820197
10
Motherwell crestMotherwell
 13 43
0%
0%
9%
7%
 12511152021187
11
ST Mirren crestST Mirren
 14 41
0%
0%
6%
12%
 1451116232812
12
Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock
 9 32
0%
0%
<1%
70%
 11371870
Proj. = average final pointsRight-hand grid: % chance of finishing in each positionUpdated 15:26 UKMethodology

Probabilities describe what our model expects, not what will happen. Points deductions, injuries and transfers are not modelled. This is sports analysis, not betting advice.