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44′ Burkina Faso crestBurkina Faso0 Mauritania crestMauritania0 42′ Cape Verde Islands crestCape Verde Islands2 Liberia crestLiberia1 42′ Gabon crestGabon0 Lesotho crestLesotho0 45′ Nigeria crestNigeria1 Tanzania crestTanzania1 44′ South Africa crestSouth Africa1 Kenya crestKenya1 43′ Tunisia crestTunisia0 Libya crestLibya0 15′ Kuwait crestKuwait0 Syria crestSyria0 14′ Poland U21 crestPoland U210 Norway U21 crestNorway U210 FT Llaneros crestLlaneros0 Chico crestChico0 FT Czechia U18 crestCzechia U180 Poland U18 crestPoland U183 FT Singapore crestSingapore1 Paraguay crestParaguay4 12:00 Chinese Taipei crestChinese Taipei Kyrgyzstan crestKyrgyzstan FT Comoros crestComoros0 Congo crestCongo0 FT Mozambique crestMozambique0 Ethiopia crestEthiopia1 FT Zambia crestZambia1 Burundi crestBurundi1 FT Congo DR U23 crestCongo DR U232 Nigeria U23 crestNigeria U230 FT United Arab Emirates crestUnited Arab Emirates3 Honduras crestHonduras1 FT Saudi Arabia crestSaudi Arabia3 South Korea crestSouth Korea2 FT Qatar crestQatar0 Australia crestAustralia3 17:00 Moldova crestMoldova Kazakhstan crestKazakhstan 17:00 JS Saoura crestJS Saoura Khenchela crestKhenchela 17:00 Germany U21 crestGermany U21 Belgium U21 crestBelgium U21 17:30 France U21 crestFrance U21 Italy U21 crestItaly U21 17:30 Chile U20 crestChile U20 Mexico U20 crestMexico U20
England · 2026/27

Championship predicted final table

10,000 simulations of the 372 remaining matches, using our Poisson model of each club's attack and defence at home and away.

#ClubPtsProj. Win the leagueAutomatic promotionPlay-offsRelegated 123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1
Birmingham crestBirmingham
 29 82
25%
43%
41%
0%
 251815128754321
2
Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbrough
 29 82
24%
41%
41%
0%
 2418141198643211
3
Southampton crestSouthampton
 24 79
12%
25%
47%
0%
 1213131211108754211
4
Wolves crestWolves
 28 78
9%
20%
43%
0%
 9111111111098753211
5
Stoke City crestStoke City
 29 78
8%
19%
44%
0%
 8101112111098654211
6
West Ham crestWest Ham
 23 77
8%
18%
41%
0%
 891011101099764321
7
West Brom crestWest Brom
 28 76
6%
14%
40%
0%
 68910101110108753211
8
Swansea crestSwansea
 26 75
4%
10%
35%
0%
 46781010111010864311
9
QPR crestQPR
 24 72
1%
4%
23%
0%
 13457791111119863211
10
Norwich crestNorwich
 21 71
2%
4%
23%
<1%
 234578910111110764321
11
Sheffield Utd crestSheffield Utd
 22 67
<1%
1%
11%
<1%
 1223467101112129754211
12
Portsmouth crestPortsmouth
 22 64
<1%
<1%
5%
<1%
 112357911131211864321
13
Blackburn crestBlackburn
 21 61
<1%
<1%
2%
1%
 1122469101213119854211
14
Millwall crestMillwall
 18 60
0%
<1%
1%
1%
 111357911121211974321
15
Cardiff crestCardiff
 18 59
0%
<1%
1%
1%
 113468111112111086421
16
Wrexham crestWrexham
 18 59
<1%
<1%
1%
2%
 112368101112121086432
17
Bristol City crestBristol City
 18 54
0%
0%
<1%
9%
 112346810121312118631
18
Bolton crestBolton
 17 53
0%
0%
<1%
11%
 11346891112121110731
19
Charlton crestCharlton
 17 52
0%
0%
<1%
15%
 1134671013141412941
20
Burnley crestBurnley
 10 48
0%
0%
<1%
30%
 112457912141516104
21
Watford crestWatford
 15 48
0%
0%
<1%
29%
 112357912141615104
22
Lincoln crestLincoln
 15 48
0%
0%
<1%
32%
 112356912141616114
23
Derby crestDerby
 10 40
0%
0%
0%
79%
 112359163131
24
Preston crestPreston
 8 37
0%
0%
0%
90%
 1135112653
Proj. = average final pointsRight-hand grid: % chance of finishing in each positionUpdated 15:10 UKMethodology

Probabilities describe what our model expects, not what will happen. Points deductions, injuries and transfers are not modelled. This is sports analysis, not betting advice.