Saudi Arabia · 2026/27

Saudi Pro League predicted final table

10,000 simulations of the 202 remaining matches, using our Poisson model of each club's attack and defence at home and away.

#	Club	Pts	Proj.	Win the title	Top four	Relegated	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	30	78	66%	99%	0%	66	23	8	2
2	Al-Qadisiyah FC	28	72	19%	96%	0%	19	39	27	10	3	1
3	Al-Nassr	28	71	13%	91%	0%	13	29	34	16	6	2
4	Al-Ittihad FC	24	63	1%	49%	0%	1	5	14	29	27	17	5	2
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	21	61	1%	39%	0%	1	3	11	24	29	22	7	2
6	NEOM	22	59	<1%	24%	0%		1	5	17	25	32	13	5	1	1
7	Al-Ettifaq	19	50	0%	1%	<1%				1	4	12	29	25	14	7	4	2	1
8	Al Shabab	14	49	0%	1%	<1%				1	4	11	27	24	15	9	5	3	1	1
9	Al Diriyah	15	42	0%	<1%	2%						2	6	14	19	17	14	11	7	5	3	1
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	15	42	0%	<1%	2%						1	5	12	18	18	15	11	9	6	3	2
11	Al Kholood	12	39	0%	0%	7%						1	2	6	11	13	15	14	13	10	7	4	2	1
12	Al-Fayha	11	38	0%	0%	8%							2	4	8	12	14	16	14	12	9	5	2	1
13	Al-Hazm	10	37	0%	0%	11%							1	4	7	11	13	14	16	13	11	6	3	1
14	Al Riyadh	12	35	0%	0%	19%							1	2	4	6	10	12	14	16	15	11	6	3
15	Al-Faisaly FC	10	33	0%	0%	26%								1	2	5	7	11	13	17	17	14	9	4
16	Abha	3	27	0%	0%	71%										1	1	3	4	7	12	21	24	26
17	Al-Fateh	6	27	0%	0%	73%										1	1	2	4	7	12	20	25	28
18	Al Taawon	5	25	0%	0%	81%											1	1	3	5	9	17	27	37

Proj. = average final pointsRight-hand grid: % chance of finishing in each positionUpdated 16:37 UKMethodology

Probabilities describe what our model expects, not what will happen. Points deductions, injuries and transfers are not modelled. This is sports analysis, not betting advice.