Spain · 2026/27

La Liga predicted final table

10,000 simulations of the 260 remaining matches, using our Poisson model of each club's attack and defence at home and away.

#	Club	Pts	Proj.	Win the title	Champions League	Europe (top six)	Relegated	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
1	Barcelona	33	91	83%	>99%	100%	0%	83	15	2
2	Real Madrid	30	83	15%	>99%	>99%	0%	15	64	20	2
3	Atletico Madrid	28	76	2%	98%	>99%	0%	2	20	66	10	2
4	Real Betis	26	65	<1%	59%	89%	0%		1	9	49	21	9	5	3	1	1
5	Real Sociedad	22	58	<1%	18%	59%	<1%			2	16	24	18	13	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	1
6	Athletic Club	16	55	0%	8%	40%	<1%				8	15	17	15	13	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1
7	Sevilla	18	54	0%	7%	34%	1%				7	12	15	15	12	11	9	6	5	4	2	1	1	1
8	Villarreal	15	52	0%	5%	27%	1%				4	10	12	13	12	11	10	8	6	4	4	2	2	1	1
9	Deportivo La Coruna	15	52	0%	3%	22%	1%				3	8	11	12	13	12	10	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1
10	Espanyol	12	48	0%	1%	9%	5%				1	3	5	7	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	1
11	Alaves	13	47	0%	1%	7%	5%				1	2	4	6	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	6	4	3	2
12	Levante	11	45	0%	<1%	3%	10%					1	2	4	5	6	8	9	10	9	10	9	8	7	6	3	1
13	Rayo Vallecano	12	45	0%	<1%	3%	11%					1	2	3	5	6	8	9	10	10	9	9	9	8	6	4	1
14	Celta Vigo	13	44	0%	<1%	2%	13%					1	1	2	4	5	7	8	9	10	10	11	10	9	7	5	1
15	Elche	10	43	0%	<1%	2%	18%					1	2	2	3	5	5	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	7	2
16	Racing Santander	14	43	0%	<1%	1%	19%						1	2	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	11	11	11	9	7	2
17	Osasuna	12	40	0%	<1%	<1%	34%							1	1	2	3	4	5	6	9	10	12	14	14	14	7
18	Getafe	12	40	0%	<1%	<1%	36%								1	1	2	4	5	6	8	11	12	14	16	14	6
19	Valencia	9	36	0%	0%	<1%	59%									1	1	2	2	3	5	7	9	12	17	24	18
20	Malaga	5	30	0%	0%	0%	88%													1	1	2	3	5	9	19	61

Proj. = average final pointsRight-hand grid: % chance of finishing in each positionUpdated 16:37 UKMethodology

Probabilities describe what our model expects, not what will happen. Points deductions, injuries and transfers are not modelled. This is sports analysis, not betting advice.